How’d I do with my Tony Predictions?

Something funked up my fortune telling powers this year, because I bombed on my Tony Predictions, scoring only a 69%!  Yikes.  Not even a Satisfactory C on this report card!

Here’s what happened and why I think what happened happened:


I got 2 out of 4 here, with my Kinky Boots (13 noms – hello!) and Matilda locking up the first two.  And then, from way back last summer comes Bring it On (that’s gonna be some Tony number), and the “maybe we’re not just a Christmas show,” A Christmas Story.  I’m still shocked that Hardbody didn’t win out here, given it opened so close to the noms, and that it was critically well received (it was eligible, by the by).  It did grab a few noms, so maybe the committee thought it would be better to recognize the pieces instead of the whole, because of its abbreviated run.


Bada bing!  4 for 4 on this one.  Admittedly, this category had a low degree of difficulty, but I’ll take it.  Not much to say here, except I still wonder what would have happened had Cinderella been eligible as a New Musical.


I got 3 out of 4 in the Play category, missing only Testament of Mary and choosing The Nance instead.  Did the Nominators not want to give too much love to industry-adored Douglas Carter Beane (Cinderella)?  Was the Mary nod to keep the nominators from throwing kudos to Fiona?  I wish I could have been in the room for this one, because I bet it was super tight.


Well, well, well.  I batted .500 in this category.  Obviously Macbeth got passed over, which I understand (Alan getting passed over, however, I don’t understand, and I never will).  I also went out on a limb with The Heiress . . . but staying true to form, the Nominators went with the more recent shows picking the much-in-the-press (which couldn’t have hurt), Orphans, and The Trip to Bountiful. 

How did you do?  Did you best me?  Any big surprises?  Let me hear you in the comments below.  And to see a full list of the nominees, click here.


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  • Someday, I’d love to see the methodology behind the Tony noms and awards. I know it’s political and subjective, but surely there’s some sort of criteria for these awards! Does something already exist with this information?

  • Matthew says:

    What baffles me is how Bring It On is nominated for Best Musical, but not for score, book, actors/actresses, director, or any design. Was the choreography really that good?

  • From what I hear, the choreography– and the cheers, were that good!

  • Brian says:

    I was hoping for a Chaplin comeback. I saw Chaplin and thought it was terrific! Rob McClure is a dark horse but certainly deserves to win and I saw every nominee in his catergory. The music and staging was terrific and unlike Bring It On, the show had some depth!. Bring It On was enjoyable, Chaplin was remarkable!

  • Dom says:

    Whoa, whoa, whoa…there’s no Tony’s app?

  • Michael Reed says:

    I still can’t believe Alan didn’t get a nomination. That man does magical things up on that stage in Macbeth.

  • Jeff says:

    Not sure I’d be too happy to have only picked Kinky and Matilda correctly, as those were the two everyone knew for sure. 😉

  • Cheryl Palmour says:

    Well, even though you didn’t score as high as you wanted to in your predictions, I say a big congratulations on the 13 nominations for Kinky Boots. That’s awesome.

  • Josh says:

    Tough year. Even in my little backwater of a drama program, my students were shocked that Alan Cumming didn’t get a nom. Last week, we reviewed the eligible shows in my classes. When we got to “Macbeth,” I explained the “one-man-show” concept and there was a collective gasp in the room. So sad we can’t see it. But, we’re thrilled for Billy Porter. Years ago, I played the revival of “Grease” as part of a lesson. His performance as the Teen Angel convinced dozens of “haters” to appreciate theatre.

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