What do you think will recoup this year? Survey results revealed!

Game on!

We had a record number of entries to this Spring’s “Will It Recoup” contest.  This year’s players included some of Broadway’s biggest players, as well as high school students, regional theater directors, folks from overseas and more.  It’s quite a collection of handicappers . . . but just like Nathan’s Famous Fourth of July Hot Dog Eating Contest, there can only be one winner.

Who will it be?

We’ve got some time before the Kindle winner is revealed, so until then I thought we’d take a look at what the majority of you thought.

Below are the results of how all of you voted on each show’s recoupment chances:

A View From The Bridge
87.9% It WILL recoup
12.1% It will NOT recoup

The Miracle Worker
44.3% It WILL recoup
55.7% It will NOT recoup

A Behanding in Spokane
36.6% It WILL recoup
63.4% It will NOT recoup

Next Fall
27.8% It WILL recoup
72.2% It will NOT recoup

20.8% It WILL recoup
79.2% It will NOT recoup

24.3% It WILL recoup
75.7% It will NOT recoup

Lend Me A Tenor
49.3% It WILL recoup
50.7% It will NOT recoup

72.6% It WILL recoup
27.4% It will NOT recoup

46.5% It WILL recoup
53.5% It will NOT recoup

So, according to the majority of you, there will be TWO recoupers in this lot of nine, A View From The Bridge and Fences.  Those two winners would put us slightly ahead of our industry standard recoupment rate of 1 out of 5 shows.  Sounds like a safe, star-driven bet to me.

Then again, the majority picked 33 Variations to recoup last year, and thought that God of Carnage was going to be a financial bomb.  😉  Don’t feel so bad. I produced Oleanna this year, remember?

What do I think?  I think there’s a good shot at getting three shows into the black this Spring . . . which would put us at 3 out of 9.

And that’s a pretty dang good batting average for any business.

Stay tuned to the blog for updates as the season goes on, and good luck to all the players!

And even better luck to all the actual Producers.

The “Will It Recoup” Winner!

In case you haven’t noticed, summer is already winding down.  And that means the tourists are starting to head out of town, a few shows will be closing, and . . . it also means that it’s time to announce the winner of the first ever Broadway Fantasy Investment Game!

Back in freezing February, we looked at 9 limited run revivals and tried to determine which one(s) would make its money back.
Here are the final results of what did and didn’t make money this Spring, based on what has been announced in the press, what hasn’t been announced in the press, and a few inside sources:
33 Variations – NO
Impressionism – NO
Blithe Spirit – YES
God of Carnage – YES
Exit The King – NO
Irena’s Vow – NO
Reasons to be Pretty – NO
Mary Stuart – NO
Norman Conquests – NO

So who won?

Well, we had FIVE people pick the winners/losers perfectly.  Yep, this one came down to a tie breaker.

And the winner of the brand new iPhone 3S (which is awesome, by the way), is . . .


Congrats, Tom.  Your gift certificate will be in your inbox shortly!

A big shout out to the other four readers who would have made a bundle this Spring:  Michael Height, Ari, Dave Beef (something tells me that’s not his real name) and Megan.  You guys have got the goods.

And for the rest of you, don’t beat yourself up.  A huge majority picked at least one of the recoupers, and that’s pretty dang good.

In fact, if you were among the over 25% that thought that God of Carnage would recoup its investment, you’d be sitting pretty, because that investment would have paid for some of your other losers and then some.

Congrats, Tom!

The results are in! Here is what YOU think will RECOUP this season!

Ok, my Virtual Broadway Investors, the contest is now officially closed!  (Insert trumpets sounding the start of the race here).

The winner of the iPhone will be announced on September 1st (or earlier if we have the recoupment results . . . or later if we don’t!).

Until then, let’s see how you voted!

There were 9 shows on our list . . . and the majority of you think only TWO will recoup (which is consistent with the somewhat industry standard stat of 1 out of 5 shows recoup).

What were those two shows?  Here’s the rundown of the shows and the results!


1.  Will 33 Variations recoup?

53.5% YES
46.5% NO

2.  Will Impressionism recoup?

30.1% YES
69.9% NO

3.  Will Blithe Spirit recoup?

80.2% YES
19.8% NO

4.  Will God of Carnage recoup?

36.2% YES
63.8% NO

5.  Will Exit the King recoup?

45.3% YES
54.7% NO

6.  Will Irena’s Vow recoup?

26.1% YES
73.9% NO

7.  Will Reasons to be Pretty recoup?

33.1% YES
66.9% NO

8.  Will Mary Stuart recoup?

29.8% YES
70.2% NO

9.  Will The Norman Conquests recoup?

23.7% YES
76.3% NO


Well, there you have it.  Blithe and 33 Variations are the ones you’d put your money on.  And I know a bunch of people that put their actual money in one of them!  🙂

Keep watching here for updates as the season goes on.  And good luck to you . . . and even better luck to the actual investors in all of the shows.  Here’s to ALL 9 shows recouping!